The enemies of British PM, Boris Johnson, smell blood in the water. They should be careful what they wish for.
A report on partying (social not political) in No. 10 Downing St has been delayed while the police consider the case for prosecution for breach of lockdown regulations; there have been five resignations from his inner circle of staff; and he is being roundly pilloried by the great and good for his diversionary attack on the leader of the opposition Keir Starmer.
According to the bookmakers, it’s odds-on that he will be gone by year end.
Continue reading “Boris on the brink”
At last, a glimpse of bipartisan analysis in the chaos engulfing Boris Johnson’s premiership.
Say what you like about Tony Blair, but he is a serious politician. What he says is worth taking seriously.
It is also not great for Boris. And worse for everyone else.
Continue reading “Blair and Boris – who would have thought it?”
Kwasi Kwarteng – Britain’s top business minister – is smart.
King’s Scholar at Eton; Double first from Cambridge; University Challenge winner; Kennedy Scholarship and a PhD in Economic History – from Cambridge. With prizes along the way.
Continue reading “Sometimes cleverness can’t get you out of a hole”
Another sharp take on the resignation of Lord Frost – Boris Johnson’s chief European sherpa – from the folk at Eurointelligence.
Wonk-in-chief Wolfgang Munchau argues Lord Frost was one of the few (perhaps the only one?) of Boris’s close advisers that really understood the needs of a post-Brexit strategy:
“What Brexit requires, first and foremost, is a post-Brexit economic model.”
Continue reading “Late Frost in Brexit Britain”
Experience suggests one should only call a turning point after it has actually – well – turned.
That said, it might be wise to keep an eye on developments in the UK over the Christmas and New Year period.
While Europe is fast locking down for fear of Omicron, Britain’s cabinet is the fulcrum of a political battle over whether any policy response would be meaningful.
Continue reading “In Britain, Christmas locks itself down”
We said a few days ago that British PM, Boris Johnson, still looked to be the indispensable man.
It’s hard to tell if subsequent events are qualifying or confirming that.
First, Lord Frost, Minister of State and the government’s EU strategist resigned citing the general drift of policy, most recently towards Covid authoritarianism.
Continue reading “Boris: holding out till Christmas”
British politics is proving a fine laboratory for times of transition.
Boris Johnson’s enemies are exultant at his latest woes: a crushing by-election defeat and a parliamentary vote in which he endured the biggest Conservative party rebellion since – well since the Brexit horrors a few years ago under his predecessor Theresa May.
But oddly enough, it looks like he might keep on standing.
Continue reading “Boris: Bad reaction to Omicron”
Winter by-elections are rarely kind to governments. But Boris Johnson’s Conservative party held on to a south London stronghold on a low turnout with a tolerably-reduced majority.
More worrying was that 1,400 voters got out of bed (one presumes) on a bitterly cold day to vote for the relatively anonymous candidate of a rebranded populist Reform party. That’s about as many as the Greens and Liberals could manage between them.
After two years of setting the agenda, the talk now is of Boris losing his grip. But might it be the change in his agenda?
Continue reading “Climate change has Boris wilting”
Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.
Which, with baroque variations, is the story from the UK domestic energy market.
As we’ve reported before, the market is suffering from the unfortunate conjunction of soaring input prices and a populist price cap. As suppliers collapse into the consumer-funded government safety net, the regulator is thrashing around trying to cobble together a fix which might avoid prices rising to their true level too fast, without offending voters or damaging long-term supply.
Continue reading “Energy markets: the more they change, the more they stay the same”
Tyrants prefer to move when their enemies are weak, divided or both. So no surprise to see Russia’s Vladimir Putin fresh from his triumph in coercing Moldova, to stirring up trouble in the Balkans, supporting Belarus’s migrant-based diplomacy, blackmailing the EU over energy supplies this winter, and ratcheting up the threat of military action against Ukraine.
Well, that’s the view from the London-based Daily Telegraph, which points out that Putin has been sending clear and consistent messages, (punctuated by use of force in Georgia, Crimea and Eastern Ukraine):
Continue reading “And trouble in the East as well …”