America’s Democrats sighed with relief after Tuesday’s mid-term elections, even though they look likely to narrowly lose control of the House of Representatives, and perhaps even the Senate.
Because notwithstanding high levels of voter dissatisfaction, the widely-anticipated Republican wave petered out.
We should be impressed with the ability of diverse voters and voting regimes over a sprawling continent to deliver such finely nuanced results (including decisive victories for Trump Republican rivals such as Brian Kemp in Georgia and Ron DeSantis in Florida).
Continue reading “US elections: when in doubt, do nothing” →
Washington Correspondent: Democrats hoping for decisive victories in the US mid-term congressional elections next Tuesday must be increasingly nervous. Polling guru Nate Silver still gives the Democratic party a six in seven chance of regaining control of the House of Representatives but he now says it would take a systematic opinion polling error (ie, most pollsters making the same mistakes) for them to win back the United States Senate. And despite his excellent record, he still missed the Trump surge in 2016.
This is quite a change from the optimism of mid-year. If the Democratic Party falls short of expectations, there will need to be some serious soul-searching. Issues to consider might include:
Continue reading “Why the Democrats should brace for some serious soul-searching” →